Bitaigen Research 
In this article we outline Bitcoin’s recent technical landscape, focusing on the paper loss incurred after a media giant’s massive purchase and tracking the evolution of key on‑chain support zones. By using multi‑dimensional models and large‑holder positioning data, we provide an objective view of short‑term volatility and medium‑ to long‑term trends to help readers gauge the market’s next moves.
Key support levels drive Bitcoin price forecasts
Bitcoin has been hovering around the 50‑week exponential moving average (EMA) of $100,887, a level that has acted as solid support in each of the last three bull markets. The current price sits near $101,102, with short‑term trading confined to a $95,000–$110,000 band.
On the technical side, a secondary support zone is identified at $95,000–$97,000, while the core support range lies between $85,000–$90,000. If Bitcoin can hold the pivotal $100,000 marker, a rebound toward $106,000–$110,000 appears plausible, and a further climb to $120,000–$150,000 could be possible during the 2025‑2026 period. Conversely, a break below $98,000 may accelerate downside pressure, shifting the target range to $90,000–$95,000.
Resistance clusters around $106,000, $110,000, and $120,000. Valuation models suggest that Bitcoin’s current price is roughly 19 % above its estimated fair value. The accumulation pattern of large‑holder (whale) positions hints at a potential consolidation phase. Polymarket’s forecast assigns a 48 % probability that Bitcoin will achieve its first seven‑figure price point (>$1,000,000).
TRUMP MEDIA AND TECHNOLOGY GROUP HOLDS OVER $1 BILLION OF BITCOIN
Trump Media and Technology Group ($DJT) has disclosed holdings of over $1.3 billion of BTC as of September 30 2025. $DJT holds $BTC. pic.twitter.com/WzAIOnN29y
— Arkham (@arkham) November 8 2025
Corporate financial strategy faces volatility
Between July 1 and July 21, Trump Media accumulated roughly $2 billion worth of Bitcoin at an average price of about $118,000, making the firm a notable participant in Wall Street’s digital‑asset holding trends. Chief Executive Devin Nunes stated that this “large‑scale Bitcoin inventory” is intended to provide a buffer for the company’s financial outlook, even though legal fees of $2.03 million stemming from the SPAC merger have widened the overall loss.
As of September 30, the market value of Trump Media’s Bitcoin holdings exceeded $1.3 billion. The company reported third‑quarter revenue of $972,900, a year‑over‑year increase of 10 %, but still below the full‑year 2023 total revenue of $4.10 million. The decline in Bitcoin’s price contributed to a $5.48 million net loss for the quarter, and its stock (DJT) fell 16 % this week, touching a 52‑week low of $12.70.
It is also worth noting that the Trump family’s investments in other sectors are sizable: World Liberty Financial holds approximately $5.76 billion in assets, while Official Trump Meme controls roughly $6.3 billion. Recently, Trump Media announced an expansion of its operations into Crypto.com’s prediction‑market platform.
Actual performance of the Bitcoin position
Bitcoin slipped 8.54 % over the past week, closing at $101,102, which turned Trump Media’s earlier $2 billion Bitcoin outlay into a paper loss. Earlier analysts had projected that Bitcoin could break $120,000 and set a new all‑time high, but the market did not materialize that scenario.
The firm earned $28.7 million from Bitcoin‑related premiums and interest income, yet its third‑quarter report still recorded a $54.8 million loss. DJT’s share price declined 16 % this week, reaching a one‑year low of $12.70.
Source: X/@fuelkek
*The above constitutes a full analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) price dynamics: Trump Media’s $2 billion BTC purchase now shows a paper loss, and where the on‑chain support levels lie. For further updates on Trump Media’s $2 billion Bitcoin holdings and related on‑chain support zones, please follow additional articles from Bitaigen (比特根).*
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